Thursday, June 29, 2006

Politics, Economy, Power ...Interesting changes

And the times they are a changing !!
There was a time in 16th century when Muslim rulers ruled all over the world, the Ottomans under Suleiman the Magnificent, Safavid Persia under Shah Abbas the Great, and Mogul India under Akbar the Great. After 10th century till some 16th they ruled all over, from Russia to Spain from India to China, Africa, middle east. They fall, and riding on the back of industrialization, technology, advancements it was Europe which came up after 16th century, France, Spain, Italy, Portugal they ruled all over Latin America, Africa, most of Asia. Even the tiny country like Portugal showed the power of technology and industrial revolution when it ruled over countries like Brazil which is almost 4 times the size of India.

19th century can be called as one of the most volatile in all. It witnessed the rise of America and fall of Europe. America becoming the political, economical, cultural and military superpower. On the back of Capitalism, liberalism, globalization, they ruled the mind of the ppl. Suddenly Hollywood, Mcdonalds, Coca Cola, Microsoft, Google, Pizza Hut, Jeans, English started to become the part of common man life. With fall of Russian influence they started dictating the order of the world and got involved in internal affairs of any country they wanted. On the other hand Europe saw significant fall in economic, social, cultural structure. French President's walk off from the meeting after Austrian counter part started speaking in English, gives an example of how they are struggling to search their identity. Once overtly rich Europe, culturally, morally supreme Europe is struggling in every department. Government corruption is high as seen in France, Italy and Britain. Italy with a budget deficit of 100%GDP struggling to keep itself at par with EU norms, they have stopped/postponed their infrastructure projects due to the lack of money. France, Nethreland, Spain, Italy, Germany seems to have never ending immigrant, racism and unemployment problems which is as high as 40% at certain places.

In 19th century it was communism first, then came capitalism and now the wave of socialism is on rise. Latin America, Russia and China are the good examples, the have struggled with some of bloodiest dictatorship era. 1990s brought the wave of capitalism and witnessed economic crisis in most of Latin America, Russia, and can be seen as utter failure in these part of world. India and China have been more cautious in there approach, grow on the back of America and dont open themself too much. And the fruitful results are visible. The recently philanthropists development in America with Bill Gate taking off for 2 years, Buffet giving his 85% wealth for charity are an interesting development. After 1990s economic crisis almost all Latin America government are left oriented but private companies are welcomed. Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Russia etc have shown consistent growth in Economy.
So are we observing now fall of American influence ?
Where Iraq represent the complete failure of American approach. Iran, Venezuela, Bolivia have raised question on American hegemony. Central issue which is evolving as another strategic territory, has seen American influence diminishing whereas the role of America in Ukarain's Orange and Georgia's Rose movement is evident and has been criticisms, Uzbekistan has asked US to remove their military base while Kyrgystan has asked to increase the charges by 100% if US wants to continue its military base their. As quoted in Indian Express/Hindu "the fairytell which US started in central Asia, doesn't seems to be meeting its desired end".

The rise of SCO with Russia, China, Uzbekistan, Kyrgystan, Tazikystan, Kajakistan as members, rather successful summit this year with Iran, Pakistan, India and Mongolia as observer and the new dimension in Sino-Russia relationship has raised eyebrows of many. On another note where Sari, Bollywood, Yoga, IT has emerged as the soft power for India. Chine is way ahead leaving his remark, with more and more pple learning mandarin, Zen, food ,etc, etc.

So lets wait and watch, who rises, who falls, who controls, ...